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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+5.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.01vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.67+4.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.48+2.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+1.04vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+1.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+1.97vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04+0.11vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.19-1.20vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.03vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-4.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-1.41vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.06-9.14vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.79-4.85vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.97-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.32College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.73Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.97Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.8Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.15Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Charlotte List | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 25.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% |
| Annie Spence | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.