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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.86vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.67+5.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+7.60vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.48+4.15vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+3.13vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-0.19vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.06vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-3.29vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.19+0.63vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.79+1.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+1.84vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-2.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.02-7.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-4.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.97-5.55vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.11-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.480.0%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.63Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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12.14Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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13.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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10.84Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.57Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Lily McGrath | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Charlotte List | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 29.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.