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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+7.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+7.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.75vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.23vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.48+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+4.47vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-1.13vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.19+1.57vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49-0.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-0.48vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11-0.72vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-1.98vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.02-7.12vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.67-6.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.05vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.79-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston College2.480.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.57Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.57Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.52Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.28Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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13.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.98Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Lily McGrath | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Annie Spence | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Charlotte List | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 28.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.