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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+6.07vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.97+8.72vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.67+4.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.81vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+4.88vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.58+1.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.71vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.79+3.19vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.48-0.36vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-1.55vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-4.75vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.19-2.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.51vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.02-7.97vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.68vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.65vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.23-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.43College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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12.19Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.64Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.42Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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13.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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11.35Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Annie Spence | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Jessica Williams | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Charlotte List | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 27.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.