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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+7.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.97+8.75vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+3.76vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.48+4.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.14vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-0.98vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+1.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.02vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.06-3.93vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.67-3.12vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.79-0.98vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.19-3.78vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-4.64vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-6.66vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.64vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.76Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.9Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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12.02Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.22Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.34Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Annie Spence | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.4% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.