← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University1.50+3.67vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.97+2.04vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.67vs Predicted
-
4Monmouth University1.95-0.16vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.28vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University0.70-0.04vs Predicted
-
7Ocean County College1.73-2.69vs Predicted
-
8Penn State University-0.97-0.03vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.67Princeton University1.500.1%1st Place
-
4.04Christopher Newport University1.970.1%1st Place
-
2.33U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
-
3.84Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
-
3.72Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
-
5.96Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
-
4.31Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
7.97Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gene Merewether | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 10.1% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 38.4% | 24.9% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 13.2% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Geary | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 35.2% | 15.9% | 2.8% |
| Zachary Schippe | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Drummond | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 38.1% | 42.8% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 31.9% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.