← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Illinois2.51+1.64vs Predicted
-
2University of Chicago1.01+4.39vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University1.15+2.35vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.98+2.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame1.61-0.60vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University0.65+1.31vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin1.20-1.88vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-0.71+3.19vs Predicted
-
9Northern Michigan University-0.80+2.58vs Predicted
-
10Hope College-0.31+0.10vs Predicted
-
11Hope College-0.77+0.20vs Predicted
-
12Michigan Technological University0.96-4.86vs Predicted
-
13Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.59vs Predicted
-
14Purdue University-0.41-3.46vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan-1.44-1.47vs Predicted
-
16University of Toledo-2.87+0.16vs Predicted
-
17Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.21vs Predicted
-
18Western Michigan University-1.85-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.64University of Illinois2.5133.2%1st Place
-
6.39University of Chicago1.016.1%1st Place
-
5.35Ohio State University1.1510.1%1st Place
-
6.08University of Michigan0.986.8%1st Place
-
4.4University of Notre Dame1.6113.0%1st Place
-
7.31Ohio State University0.655.0%1st Place
-
5.12University of Wisconsin1.2010.2%1st Place
-
11.19Michigan State University-0.711.5%1st Place
-
11.58Northern Michigan University-0.801.5%1st Place
-
10.1Hope College-0.311.8%1st Place
-
11.2Hope College-0.771.3%1st Place
-
7.14Michigan Technological University0.964.7%1st Place
-
11.41Grand Valley State University-0.851.2%1st Place
-
10.54Purdue University-0.412.0%1st Place
-
13.53University of Michigan-1.440.9%1st Place
-
16.16University of Toledo-2.870.1%1st Place
-
16.79Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.1%1st Place
-
14.08Western Michigan University-1.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Pendergast | 33.2% | 24.9% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Reynolds | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ted Johnston | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Michels | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mia Pyenta | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 34.6% | 32.4% |
| Piper Luke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 21.6% | 55.6% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.