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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University1.25+0.70vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.47+0.39vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.17+0.06vs Predicted
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4Tulane University-1.04+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Central Oklahoma-1.81+0.02vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.17-2.94vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Duke University1.250.5%1st Place
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2.39University of Texas0.470.3%1st Place
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3.06Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.13Tulane University-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
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3.06Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.69Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 52.6% | 30.0% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Chilarescu | 25.9% | 32.9% | 23.4% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 12.9% | 19.5% | 30.8% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 4.4% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 27.3% | 27.6% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 26.4% | 47.9% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 12.9% | 19.5% | 30.8% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 2.7% | 4.3% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 30.3% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.