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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University1.25+0.56vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-1.27+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.47-0.81vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52+0.41vs Predicted
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5Tulane University-1.04-1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Central Oklahoma-1.81-1.23vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-1.27-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Duke University1.250.6%1st Place
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4.09Texas A&M University-1.270.0%1st Place
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2.19University of Texas0.470.3%1st Place
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4.41Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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3.97Tulane University-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.77University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.09Texas A&M University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 59.7% | 28.5% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Hard | 3.8% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 25.3% | 23.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Dan Chilarescu | 26.6% | 40.1% | 23.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 3.7% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 23.5% | 26.4% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 4.1% | 11.3% | 22.0% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 2.1% | 4.0% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 25.0% | 39.6% | 0.0% |
| Colton Hard | 3.8% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 25.3% | 23.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.