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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University1.25+0.46vs Predicted
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2Tulane University-1.04+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Central Oklahoma-1.81+1.71vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52+0.37vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.17-2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.12-2.11vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.17-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Duke University1.250.7%1st Place
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3.74Tulane University-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.37Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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2.83Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Texas-1.120.1%1st Place
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2.83Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 67.4% | 22.8% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 5.7% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 3.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 25.6% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 14.6% | 31.4% | 25.6% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 5.3% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 22.1% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 14.6% | 31.4% | 25.6% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.