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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University1.25+0.56vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-1.27+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.47-0.80vs Predicted
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4Tulane University-1.04-0.15vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Central Oklahoma-1.81-1.22vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-1.27-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Duke University1.250.6%1st Place
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4.11Texas A&M University-1.270.0%1st Place
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2.2University of Texas0.470.3%1st Place
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3.85Tulane University-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.11Texas A&M University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 59.6% | 28.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colton Hard | 3.7% | 9.6% | 19.7% | 23.6% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Dan Chilarescu | 26.3% | 40.9% | 22.5% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 5.9% | 9.4% | 23.6% | 27.7% | 21.5% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 2.4% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 26.4% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 2.1% | 4.1% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 23.9% | 40.3% | 0.0% |
| Colton Hard | 3.7% | 9.6% | 19.7% | 23.6% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.