← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Duke University1.25+0.34vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University-1.27+1.80vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University-1.04+0.49vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52+0.16vs Predicted
-
5University of Central Oklahoma-1.81-0.40vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas-1.12-2.39vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University-1.27-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.34Duke University1.250.7%1st Place
-
3.8Texas A&M University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
3.49Tulane University-1.040.1%1st Place
-
4.16Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
-
4.6University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
-
3.61University of Texas-1.120.1%1st Place
-
3.8Texas A&M University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 74.3% | 19.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Hard | 4.4% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 8.5% | 19.5% | 23.6% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 4.1% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 2.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 39.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 6.6% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Hard | 4.4% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.