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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University1.25+0.71vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.17+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.47-0.62vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52+0.65vs Predicted
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5Tulane University-1.04-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Central Oklahoma-1.81-1.02vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.17-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Duke University1.250.5%1st Place
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3.07Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.38University of Texas0.470.2%1st Place
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4.65Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.21Tulane University-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
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3.07Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 53.8% | 28.0% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 13.9% | 20.3% | 29.6% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Chilarescu | 23.9% | 33.5% | 27.1% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 2.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 21.2% | 30.7% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 3.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 28.2% | 24.8% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 1.9% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 27.8% | 45.2% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 13.9% | 20.3% | 29.6% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.