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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University1.25+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.47+0.40vs Predicted
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3Tulane University-1.04+1.07vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.17-0.91vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52-0.29vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.17-2.91vs Predicted
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7University of Central Oklahoma-1.81-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Duke University1.250.5%1st Place
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2.4University of Texas0.470.3%1st Place
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4.07Tulane University-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.09Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.71Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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3.09Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 52.5% | 29.1% | 13.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Chilarescu | 25.2% | 32.6% | 24.7% | 13.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 6.2% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 26.2% | 28.6% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 11.8% | 20.3% | 31.3% | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 2.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 30.4% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 11.8% | 20.3% | 31.3% | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 15.4% | 25.7% | 47.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.