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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.82vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.50+10.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+4.82vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34+5.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.19vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+1.05vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-1.21vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.73-1.33vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-1.09vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.34vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-3.76vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.90-6.21vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-7.51vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.47-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.75Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.05Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.91Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.79Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 16.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 39.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 8.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Emma White | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.