← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.75vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.36+8.80vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.25vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.20+3.69vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.05+3.01vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.91+2.88vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.47+3.48vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.34+2.76vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.75+0.58vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.73-0.62vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.29vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.35-4.99vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.09-4.82vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.58-3.73vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.90-6.21vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College1.50-2.10vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College2.99-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.8Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
5.25University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.69Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.01Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.88Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
-
10.48Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
-
10.76Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.58Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.38University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.01Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.18College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
10.27University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
8.79Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
13.9Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.55Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 13.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Paris Henken | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 39.4% |
| Emma White | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.