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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+7.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+4.61vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.36+7.01vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+3.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.14vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73+1.28vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.66vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-3.77vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+1.79vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-4.84vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-2.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.47-4.53vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-5.79vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.01Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.28University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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13.79Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.47Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 41.9% |
| Paris Henken | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 8.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.