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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.75vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+5.81vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+4.50vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+4.33vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36+2.69vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.47+1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-0.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.27vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.82vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-4.83vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-5.12vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-4.01vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.09vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.33University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.88Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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13.91Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 38.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.