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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.26vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+7.38vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+7.07vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.14vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.34vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36+2.16vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-1.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-1.04vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-3.48vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-5.41vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.47-4.54vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.07vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.90-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.38University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.16Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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13.93Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.92Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Paris Henken | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Emma White | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 40.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.