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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.08vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.18vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+4.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.77vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+1.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.12vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.47+1.69vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+3.85vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+0.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-3.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.39vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-5.07vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-4.09vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-5.88vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.09-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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9.33Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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13.85Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.93Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.91Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.12College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 16.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 38.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% |
| Emma White | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Paris Henken | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.