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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.40vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+7.43vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+4.84vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.33vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+1.42vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-1.06vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.72vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+3.82vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36+0.15vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.90-3.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-1.88vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.09-5.83vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-5.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-7.21vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.47-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.43University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.33Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.82Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.15Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.38Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Emma White | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 37.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.