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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.17vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+8.89vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+4.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+2.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.34vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+1.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+0.55vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-0.36vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-2.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.95vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.51vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50+0.89vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-2.88vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.47-4.52vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.73-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.78Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.89Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.59University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 15.3% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 7.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Emma White | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Paris Henken | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 42.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.