← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.03vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.76vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.35+3.90vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.75+5.24vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.99+3.16vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.50+7.87vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.58+2.90vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.05-0.11vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.91-0.22vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.85vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.34-0.10vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.20-4.53vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University2.90-4.22vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.73-4.52vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.09-7.15vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.36-5.16vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.73-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.03University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
-
5.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.9Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.24Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.16Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
13.87Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.89Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.78Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
-
9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
10.9Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.47Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.78Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.48University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
-
7.85College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
10.84Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
13.0Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 15.8% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Emma White | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 36.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Paris Henken | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.