← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.91+7.41vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+4.77vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.75+6.19vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.28vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.68vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.99+2.44vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.09+0.91vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.05-0.11vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.36+1.97vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.73-0.81vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.20-3.36vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.58-2.13vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.34-2.02vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.50-0.24vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.90-6.41vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.73-2.98vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.41Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.77Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.19Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.28University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.44Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.91College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.89Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.97Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.19University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
-
7.64Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.87University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.98Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
13.76Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.59Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
13.02Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 36.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 23.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.