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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+6.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+4.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+2.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.09vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-0.22vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+2.03vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-0.24vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-2.24vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-1.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.51vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-5.53vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.73-2.09vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.73-6.65vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.36Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.22Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.76Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.91Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.35University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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13.67Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Paris Henken | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Emma White | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 25.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.