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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.31vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+5.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34+5.61vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.88vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+0.50vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.73-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-0.95vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-2.83vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.24vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.26vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-4.22vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.57vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.73-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.04Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.74Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.01Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 35.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.