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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.81vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+6.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.53vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+2.98vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+1.81vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+2.21vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+3.89vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-3.18vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-1.06vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-5.94vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.73-4.38vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.09-6.96vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-7.51vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.47-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.38Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.22Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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13.89Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.94Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 37.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Emma White | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.