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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+4.84vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+5.22vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+6.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+4.37vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.33+3.86vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.10+3.94vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+3.61vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.81+2.99vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.54-1.00vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-0.68vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.68+0.82vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.13+0.49vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.38-5.56vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.08-1.16vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.65-8.33vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.51-8.71vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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7.22College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.37Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.94Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.61Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.99Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.0Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.82U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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13.49University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.84University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.29Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Morgan Watters | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Katrina Williams | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Sara Burke | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 24.8% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Baker | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 28.1% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.