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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois2.51+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago1.01+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.61+1.45vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.96+3.13vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.65+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.20-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.98-0.91vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.41+2.31vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University1.15-3.49vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.71+1.15vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.31-0.77vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.77-0.79vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.65vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University-0.80-2.36vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.44-1.58vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.85-1.89vs Predicted
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17University of Toledo-2.87-0.70vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of Illinois2.5133.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Chicago1.017.4%1st Place
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4.45University of Notre Dame1.6112.6%1st Place
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7.13Michigan Technological University0.965.5%1st Place
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7.17Ohio State University0.654.7%1st Place
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5.11University of Wisconsin1.2011.3%1st Place
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6.09University of Michigan0.987.4%1st Place
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10.31Purdue University-0.411.8%1st Place
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5.51Ohio State University1.158.9%1st Place
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11.15Michigan State University-0.710.9%1st Place
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10.23Hope College-0.311.8%1st Place
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11.21Hope College-0.771.1%1st Place
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11.35Grand Valley State University-0.851.3%1st Place
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11.64Northern Michigan University-0.801.4%1st Place
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13.42University of Michigan-1.440.5%1st Place
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14.11Western Michigan University-1.850.4%1st Place
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16.3University of Toledo-2.870.1%1st Place
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16.82Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Pendergast | 33.1% | 23.4% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 12.6% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Reynolds | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Ted Johnston | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Mia Pyenta | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 5.5% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 12.7% | 33.5% | 34.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 22.7% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.