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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.83vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+4.51vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.58vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.19vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+1.91vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.73-0.69vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.46vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.90-3.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-1.86vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-2.90vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.09-6.98vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.47-5.36vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.54Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.76Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.1Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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13.9Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 16.7% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Emma White | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Paris Henken | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.