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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+9.17vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.97+9.26vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.77+9.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+4.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+0.98vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-0.97vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.43+1.47vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-2.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.22vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.30vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.56vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.38-6.86vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.58-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.74-0.16vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-7.12vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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12.01Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.03College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.14Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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14.84University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
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8.88Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Annie Spence | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 12.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 5.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 53.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Camille Matile | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.