← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.68vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.37+4.06vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.50+6.39vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.20+2.81vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.18+1.60vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.77+6.21vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.43+2.57vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.95vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida0.74+6.03vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.54-0.89vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.23-0.51vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.38-5.87vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.35vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.58-4.74vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.97-3.69vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.65-7.12vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.41-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
6.06College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.39Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
6.81Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.6Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
12.21Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
-
9.57Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
-
6.05University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
15.03University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
-
9.11Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
-
10.49Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
6.13Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
9.26Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.88Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
-
9.77Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 13.1% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 54.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Annie Spence | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Camille Matile | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.