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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+9.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.97+8.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+5.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.97vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.95vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58+0.25vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-3.34vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.47vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-5.87vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.43-3.23vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.74+0.93vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.50vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-6.20vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.77-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.53Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.13College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.77Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.93University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Annie Spence | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 7.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 55.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Camille Matile | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.