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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+7.36vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.43+5.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.65vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+3.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.58+2.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.26vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.68vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-0.69vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.03vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.74+1.91vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.38-7.84vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.97-4.55vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.68Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.91University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.98Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Camille Matile | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 55.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 12.5% |
| Annie Spence | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 8.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.