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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.54+7.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.61vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+5.22vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.58+2.12vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+0.59vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.43+0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.97+1.26vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.87vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.30vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.09vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.74-0.19vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.77-3.82vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.50-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.29College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.89Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.24Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.81University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
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12.18Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Annie Spence | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Camille Matile | 2.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 52.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 12.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.