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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+5.15vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois2.51+0.61vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.15+2.33vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.65+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.61-0.69vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.96+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.98-1.00vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.31+2.10vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago1.01-2.65vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.71+1.08vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.77+0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.44+1.39vs Predicted
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13Purdue University-0.41-2.72vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University-0.80-2.50vs Predicted
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15Grand Valley State University-0.85-3.69vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.85-1.74vs Predicted
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17Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.33vs Predicted
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18University of Toledo-2.87-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15University of Wisconsin1.147.3%1st Place
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2.61University of Illinois2.5134.6%1st Place
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5.33Ohio State University1.159.1%1st Place
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7.12Ohio State University0.654.9%1st Place
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4.31University of Notre Dame1.6114.3%1st Place
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6.98Michigan Technological University0.965.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Michigan0.987.8%1st Place
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10.1Hope College-0.311.8%1st Place
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6.35University of Chicago1.016.6%1st Place
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11.08Michigan State University-0.710.9%1st Place
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11.25Hope College-0.771.5%1st Place
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13.39University of Michigan-1.440.7%1st Place
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10.28Purdue University-0.412.2%1st Place
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11.5Northern Michigan University-0.801.1%1st Place
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11.31Grand Valley State University-0.851.4%1st Place
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14.26Western Michigan University-1.850.5%1st Place
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16.67Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.1%1st Place
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16.31University of Toledo-2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Pendergast | 34.6% | 22.9% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Reynolds | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Max Zhalilo | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Mia Pyenta | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ted Johnston | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| William O'Haver | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 21.1% | 6.7% |
| Piper Luke | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 20.3% | 54.5% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 33.7% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.