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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.43+8.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.58+5.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+0.94vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.92vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-2.73vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.32vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.68vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.77-0.86vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.08vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-4.65vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.97-4.56vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.74-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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14.97University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 12.4% |
| Camille Matile | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Annie Spence | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.