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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+7.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.80vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+2.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.57vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.84vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+3.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+0.88vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-2.94vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-1.20vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.43-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-0.79vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.45vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-4.60vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-3.10vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-6.33vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.74-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.06College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.58Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.9Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.67Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.89University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Annie Spence | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 7.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 12.6% |
| Camille Matile | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.