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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.58+5.96vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+5.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.46vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-1.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67+0.41vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+1.43vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.43-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.97+0.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-2.46vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.40vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.37-7.97vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-5.85vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.77-3.96vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.74-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.41Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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6.03College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.04Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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14.91University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Annie Spence | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 8.4% |
| Camille Matile | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.