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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+7.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.35vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+5.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.77vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+3.15vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+4.13vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67+0.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.21vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+0.13vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-1.31vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.43-2.56vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-7.03vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-7.38vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.58-6.11vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.25-0.33vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.77-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.35Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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15.67University of South Florida0.250.0%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Annie Spence | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 5.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Camille Matile | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte Samson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 67.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.