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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+7.19vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.41+5.54vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.76vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+0.68vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.43+2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.18vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.67-0.33vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.53vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-0.91vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-3.72vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-4.82vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.58-6.14vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.25-0.34vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.77-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.76College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.67Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.28Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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15.66University of South Florida0.250.0%1st Place
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11.9Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Camille Matile | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 4.0% |
| Annie Spence | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 5.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Samson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 66.3% |
| Hana Zwick | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.