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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+9.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.79vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.92vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.58vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.43+4.26vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.81vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+2.02vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.97+2.93vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41+0.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.39vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.58-1.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-1.79vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-3.72vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-7.30vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.25+0.52vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.77-4.05vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.67-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.92College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.07Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.28Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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15.52University of South Florida0.250.0%1st Place
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11.95Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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8.58Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Annie Spence | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 6.6% |
| Camille Matile | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Samson | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 66.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 8.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.