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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.54+7.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.60vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.97+7.22vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+3.45vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+2.69vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-1.07vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+1.40vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-1.33vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.52vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-6.08vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-3.35vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-4.70vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.25+0.53vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.43-6.58vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.77-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.69Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.93College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.3Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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15.53University of South Florida0.250.0%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.96Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Samson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 66.9% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.0% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Hana Zwick | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.