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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+4.03vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+0.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67+1.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+2.02vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.43+0.69vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.52vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.58-1.96vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-2.46vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.77-0.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.97-2.62vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-5.97vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.48vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.74-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.95College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.55Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.06Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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14.92University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Camille Matile | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| Annie Spence | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 7.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.