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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+7.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.03vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.77vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.58+3.05vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+2.19vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.43+1.20vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41+0.75vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54-1.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.17vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-0.90vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.67-4.41vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.25+1.61vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-3.18vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.52vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.77College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.75Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.59Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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15.61University of South Florida0.250.0%1st Place
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11.82Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Camille Matile | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Spence | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 5.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Samson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 68.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 8.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.