Race 1A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Joseph Paggi 8.0% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 9.2% 7.0% 7.9% 6.1% 5.7% 6.9% 6.9% 7.1% 6.1% 5.1% 3.0%
Kendal Richardson 8.5% 9.9% 10.3% 8.7% 8.4% 8.8% 7.8% 6.2% 6.8% 6.5% 4.5% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 1.3%
Matthew Lyons 7.9% 7.9% 7.2% 9.7% 7.1% 5.7% 7.0% 8.2% 8.1% 6.7% 7.6% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.4%
James Moody 8.5% 8.9% 8.1% 8.5% 9.1% 7.4% 6.5% 8.6% 5.6% 7.0% 6.1% 4.9% 5.0% 4.3% 1.5%
Frank Reeg 5.0% 4.4% 4.4% 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 6.2% 5.4% 6.4% 7.9% 9.3% 11.1% 10.1% 9.2%
Amina Brown 8.5% 9.7% 6.7% 9.0% 8.7% 8.8% 6.8% 9.4% 8.2% 6.9% 4.3% 5.9% 3.6% 2.6% 0.9%
Drake Lyon 8.7% 5.4% 6.9% 8.8% 6.4% 8.0% 7.3% 8.1% 7.4% 7.6% 7.0% 4.9% 6.5% 4.8% 2.2%
Bryce Kopp 12.0% 11.4% 11.4% 9.2% 8.2% 7.9% 8.1% 7.5% 6.8% 5.4% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 1.9% 0.6%
Alex Moreno 5.0% 5.1% 6.5% 5.4% 7.7% 7.1% 7.6% 6.1% 8.4% 7.2% 7.9% 8.6% 7.1% 5.6% 4.7%
Ryan Gershuny 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 6.0% 7.4% 15.9% 42.5%
Sean Beaulieu 3.5% 5.0% 5.1% 4.7% 5.2% 4.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.7% 7.0% 6.9% 7.1% 9.4% 12.1% 10.8%
Sam Alexander 7.5% 5.8% 7.0% 8.1% 7.1% 8.8% 7.1% 6.0% 6.5% 8.4% 7.3% 7.1% 5.7% 5.2% 2.4%
Peter Christensen 3.2% 4.6% 4.4% 3.7% 3.8% 4.2% 6.7% 5.8% 5.8% 5.0% 8.4% 8.5% 12.2% 12.4% 11.3%
Dylan Farrell 4.9% 5.1% 5.8% 4.9% 6.1% 6.2% 6.9% 5.1% 7.0% 7.8% 9.0% 8.3% 8.3% 8.7% 5.9%
Patrick Isherwood 7.0% 8.8% 7.3% 5.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.8% 6.9% 8.1% 7.2% 6.6% 7.2% 6.0% 5.4% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.