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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.15+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.61+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois2.51-0.42vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.96+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.98+1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14+0.29vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.31+3.08vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.71+3.02vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.77+2.29vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.65-3.07vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.41-0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago1.01-5.90vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.58vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-1.44-0.75vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-0.80-3.59vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.85-1.73vs Predicted
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17University of Toledo-2.87-0.71vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Ohio State University1.159.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Notre Dame1.6114.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Illinois2.5133.5%1st Place
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7.0Michigan Technological University0.965.8%1st Place
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6.02University of Michigan0.987.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Wisconsin1.146.7%1st Place
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10.08Hope College-0.311.8%1st Place
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11.02Michigan State University-0.711.4%1st Place
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11.29Hope College-0.771.1%1st Place
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6.93Ohio State University0.655.4%1st Place
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10.34Purdue University-0.411.9%1st Place
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6.1University of Chicago1.018.1%1st Place
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11.42Grand Valley State University-0.851.4%1st Place
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13.25University of Michigan-1.440.8%1st Place
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11.41Northern Michigan University-0.801.6%1st Place
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14.27Western Michigan University-1.850.3%1st Place
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16.29University of Toledo-2.870.2%1st Place
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16.84Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 14.1% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Pendergast | 33.5% | 25.2% | 17.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Reynolds | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Zhalilo | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Mia Pyenta | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Ted Johnston | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| William O'Haver | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 19.8% | 6.4% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 32.5% | 34.4% |
| Piper Luke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 24.6% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.