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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+2.91vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.97+2.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.67vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73+0.23vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.50-0.41vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.70-0.01vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-3.23vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.97-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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4.04Christopher Newport University1.970.1%1st Place
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2.33U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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4.23Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.59Princeton University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.99Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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3.77Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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7.97Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 13.5% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 10.2% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 38.4% | 23.8% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 11.3% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Gene Merewether | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 36.1% | 16.0% | 2.7% |
| Christian Geary | 13.4% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Drummond | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 38.4% | 42.8% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 32.0% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.