Race 3A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Joseph Paggi 8.6% 6.0% 8.1% 7.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.1% 7.7% 6.1% 6.6% 7.4% 5.6% 7.2% 3.8% 3.7%
Drake Lyon 7.0% 8.5% 8.0% 8.2% 8.4% 7.6% 7.8% 5.2% 5.8% 7.8% 7.3% 5.4% 5.7% 4.8% 2.5%
Bryce Kopp 11.8% 12.0% 10.9% 10.2% 9.5% 7.8% 7.2% 8.8% 6.4% 4.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.7%
Alex Moreno 5.6% 6.0% 5.6% 6.3% 7.3% 8.3% 4.8% 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 7.7% 7.7% 8.4% 7.2% 4.5%
Matthew Lyons 8.2% 8.1% 7.1% 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 8.7% 6.3% 7.7% 8.3% 6.8% 5.9% 4.8% 5.0% 2.7%
Frank Reeg 3.9% 4.1% 5.5% 5.1% 3.8% 4.7% 5.4% 6.6% 7.6% 8.0% 8.5% 7.7% 9.9% 11.1% 8.1%
Peter Christensen 4.6% 4.2% 4.3% 4.1% 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 5.4% 7.6% 7.0% 7.7% 9.6% 8.1% 11.2% 11.2%
Kendal Richardson 10.2% 9.4% 7.8% 7.5% 7.3% 9.8% 8.1% 7.0% 6.6% 6.1% 6.5% 5.4% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5%
Patrick Isherwood 6.8% 6.7% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 7.3% 9.0% 7.5% 6.3% 6.7% 7.4% 7.4% 6.0% 4.6% 2.0%
James Moody 8.0% 6.8% 8.1% 10.3% 7.5% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 8.4% 6.1% 5.5% 5.2% 5.2% 3.8% 1.5%
Sam Alexander 6.4% 9.6% 8.6% 6.9% 8.5% 6.4% 6.5% 7.3% 6.2% 6.9% 5.7% 7.2% 5.9% 5.8% 2.1%
Dylan Farrell 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 4.8% 8.0% 4.8% 6.6% 6.3% 7.2% 6.8% 6.5% 9.4% 9.6% 10.6% 6.6%
Amina Brown 8.8% 7.8% 8.5% 7.8% 6.7% 8.7% 7.2% 9.1% 7.8% 6.1% 7.4% 5.4% 4.4% 3.0% 1.3%
Ryan Gershuny 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 5.7% 7.5% 14.3% 43.2%
Sean Beaulieu 4.3% 5.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.9% 5.9% 5.4% 5.2% 5.9% 6.8% 6.8% 9.5% 11.5% 11.4% 8.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.