← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.72+6.39vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.38+6.49vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.38vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.74+3.34vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.97+1.72vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.51+2.27vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.16+2.50vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.80-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.90-2.21vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.79-2.69vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.74vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.96-5.17vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.23-7.06vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.24-1.73vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.21-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.39University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.49Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.34Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
6.72Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.27Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
9.5Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
7.2Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.79Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.31Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
6.83University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
5.94Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
12.27University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.29Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Kendal Richardson | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| James Moody | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 9.2% |
| Amina Brown | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 42.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.