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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+8.34vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+4.45vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+4.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.24+7.22vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.28vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.74+0.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-2.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23-4.21vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.90-4.09vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-4.24vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-3.40vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.54vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.38-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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12.22University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.79Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.6Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% |
| Kendal Richardson | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 44.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Amina Brown | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| James Moody | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 9.3% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.