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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.81vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.50+2.85vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+0.96vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.97-0.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.72vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-1.78vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.70-1.00vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.97-0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.85Princeton University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.96Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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3.75Christopher Newport University1.970.1%1st Place
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2.28U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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4.22Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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6.0Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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7.96Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Geary | 14.1% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Gene Merewether | 5.7% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Paul Stevens | 11.6% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 13.6% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| George Prieto | 39.4% | 27.0% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 33.1% | 15.7% | 3.6% |
| Daniel Drummond | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 9.7% | 39.1% | 41.7% |
| Christopher Cormier | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 31.4% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.