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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.23+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.67+0.62vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.17+4.13vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.65+4.68vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.44+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.55-1.10vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.09+0.58vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.57+0.95vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-2.34+5.35vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-1.70+2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.14-0.79vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-0.91-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.71-0.78vs Predicted
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14Purdue University-1.07-3.94vs Predicted
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15Michigan State University-1.68-2.59vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.73-3.77vs Predicted
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17Northern Michigan University-2.18-3.30vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Notre Dame1.2320.3%1st Place
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2.62University of Wisconsin1.6734.2%1st Place
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7.13Michigan Technological University-0.174.3%1st Place
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8.68Hope College-0.653.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Illinois0.447.5%1st Place
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4.9University of Chicago0.5510.8%1st Place
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7.58Ohio State University0.093.9%1st Place
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8.95Hope College-0.573.5%1st Place
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14.35Unknown School-2.340.4%1st Place
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12.14Ohio State University-1.701.5%1st Place
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10.21University of Michigan-1.142.1%1st Place
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9.68Grand Valley State University-0.912.1%1st Place
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12.22University of Michigan-1.711.1%1st Place
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10.06Purdue University-1.072.1%1st Place
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12.41Michigan State University-1.680.9%1st Place
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12.23Western Michigan University-1.730.9%1st Place
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13.7Northern Michigan University-2.180.8%1st Place
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15.09Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 20.3% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Styslinger | 34.2% | 23.2% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 22.6% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| River Servia | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Reed Rossell | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| George Prokop | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Leo Barch | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 14.8% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.